{"id":820,"date":"2025-04-18T15:58:26","date_gmt":"2025-04-18T15:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/?p=820"},"modified":"2025-04-20T04:10:13","modified_gmt":"2025-04-20T04:10:13","slug":"bitcoin-whales-absorb-300-of-newly-mined-btc-supply-is-100k-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/18\/bitcoin-whales-absorb-300-of-newly-mined-btc-supply-is-100k-next\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin whales absorb 300% of newly mined BTC supply \u2014\u00a0Is $100K next?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Bitcoin’s (BTC<\/a>) richest traders and investors are increasingly bullish on BTC despite facing downside risks from unfavorable macroeconomic factors<\/a>, the latest onchain data suggests. <\/p>\n

Bitcoin whales absorbing 300% of new supply<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin whales and sharks are now absorbing BTC at record rates—over 300% of yearly issuance—while exchanges are losing coins at a historic pace, according to Glassnode.<\/p>\n

Notably, Bitcoin’s yearly absorption rate by exchanges has plunged<\/a> below -200% as outflows continue. This signals a growing preference for self-custody or long-term investment.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin yearly absorption rates. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Meanwhile, larger holders (100–1,000+ BTC) are scooping up<\/a> more than three times the new issuance, marking the fastest rate of accumulation among sharks and whales in Bitcoin’s history. <\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin yearly absorption rates of whales and sharks. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This marks a structural shift as traditional finance increasingly adopts BTC, particularly with the approval spot Bitcoin ETFs<\/a> last year. The result is less BTC supply on crypto exchanges<\/a> and long-term bullish conviction among big holders.<\/p>\n

Most cohorts are buying the BTC price dip<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin whales holding over 10,000 BTC remain in strong accumulation territory, with their Trend Accumulation Score at around 0.7 as of April 18, according to Glassnode<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin trend accumulation score by cohort. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This metric quantifies cohort behavior from distribution (0) to accumulation (1). The score implies confidence among the largest holders of Bitcoin.<\/p>\n

In contrast, the sell-off in smaller cohorts that have been distributing earlier in the year appears to be slowing down. That includes the 10–100 BTC and the 1-100 BTC groups, whose scores have climbed back to a neutral zone at around 0.5.<\/p>\n

Even the smallest cohort (<\/p>\n

Onchain analyst Mignolet adds<\/a> that the whale behavior is similar to what preceded Bitcoin’s 2020 bull run.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin falling wedge breakout hints at $100K<\/h2>\n

Bitcoin has broken out of a multimonth falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal that could drive its price toward the $100,000 mark by May.<\/p>\n

A falling wedge forms when price action contracts between two downward-sloping trendlines and resolves with an upside breakout. Traders typically measure the wedge’s upside target by measuring its maximum height and adding the outcome to the breakout point. <\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
BTC\/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Applying this rule of technical analysis brings Bitcoin’s target to over $101,570.<\/p>\n

Related: <\/strong><\/em>4 reasons why Bitcoin price could rally to $90K in April<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Conversely, BTC’s price is testing its 50-day (the red wave) and 200-day (the blue wave) exponential moving averages (EMAs) around $85,300 as resistance. A bearish rejection from these EMAs risks pushing BTC’s price toward the wedge’s upper trendline near $80,000. <\/p>\n

“The 200-day moving average remains overhead as resistance, and the horizontal level at $88,804 is still the key barrier to flip market structure and print a higher high,” wrote<\/a> market analyst Scott Melker, adding: <\/p>\n

“Encouraging – but not convincing – yet. Bulls need to follow through with strength.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin’s (BTC) richest traders and investors are increasingly bullish on BTC despite facing downside risks from unfavorable macroeconomic factors, the latest onchain data suggests. Bitcoin whales absorbing 300% of new<\/p>\n

Continue reading <\/use> <\/svg>Bitcoin whales absorb 300% of newly mined BTC supply \u2014\u00a0Is $100K next?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=820"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":828,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820\/revisions\/828"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/822"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thebusinesschain.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}